Patty Murray, both Democrats, are expected to release recommendations this month on what they think should happen with the dams.
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Many groups that would like to see the dams removed said momentum appears closer to dam removal than it has over the last few decades.įor example, Washington Gov. However, federal officials said the administration is considering the information in these reports as it assesses long-term plans for the Columbia River Basin, a first for recent administrations. The Biden administration did not endorse the actions outlined in either report. Department of Energy Principal Deputy Under Secretary for Infrastructure. “As the region continues to embrace the health and cost-savings of a decarbonized power sector and to further enhance its supply of clean energy, the E3 study can help inform long-term planning decisions, including to limit the impact to ratepayers,” said Kathleen Hogan, U.S. At the high end, which officials deemed unrealistic, that cost could reach $77 billion, according to the report.įor ratepayers, replacing the dams could mean $100 to $230 per year more in electricity costs in 2045, around an 8% to 18% increase in bills. Replacing the electricity generation from the Snake River dams could cost $11.2 billion to $19.6 billion, which is similar to costs outlined in previous studies. The E3 report found it’s possible to replace electricity generation as emerging technologies, such as small modular nuclear reactors and floating offshore wind turbines, become more commercially available. In another report also released July 12, federal officials from the Bonneville Power Administration commissioned an independent analysis by the consulting firm E3 that looked at ways to offset any electricity generation from the four dams on the Lower Snake River. We need a durable, inclusive, and regionally-crafted long-term strategy for the management of the Columbia River Basin,” Mallory said. “Business as usual will not restore the health and abundance of Pacific Northwest salmon. The NOAA report shows what it will take to restore salmon to healthy and harvestable numbers, said Brenda Mallory, chairperson of the White House Council on Environmental Quality. “Inaction will result in the catastrophic loss of the majority of Columbia River basin salmon and steelhead stocks.”
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“Salmon recovery depends on large-scale actions,” according to the NOAA report. Fish and Wildlife Service, the Nez Perce Tribe, and the State of Oregon, which have been involved in ongoing litigation about the federal plan to operate the Columbia River hydropower system. The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, which manages threatened and endangered salmon and steelhead, prepared the draft report, with input from the U.S.
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We conclude that the presence of such statistical artifacts raises questions over the very existence of an optimistic bias about risk and implies that to the extent that such a bias exists, we know considerably less about its magnitude, mechanisms, and moderators than previously assumed.To recover healthy salmon populations, one or more of the Snake River dams must be breached, in addition to other actions, according to a new draft report released Tuesday, July 12 by federal officials. Specifically, we show how extant data from unrealistic optimism studies investigating people's comparative risk judgments are plagued by the statistical consequences of sampling constraints and the response scales used, in combination with the comparative rarity of truly negative events. However, we demonstrate how unbiased responses can result in data patterns commonly interpreted as indicative of optimism for purely statistical reasons. A robust finding in social psychology is that people judge negative events as less likely to happen to themselves than to the average person, a behavior interpreted as showing that people are “unrealistically optimistic” in their judgments of risk concerning future life events.